Presidential Trends

The major news networks tend to focus on national polls, giving snapshots of who is leading at any particular time. However, I find the trend lines in key states such as Iowa and New Hampshire to be a bit more revealing.

Here are the polls for Republican candidates in Iowa:


Here are the polls for Republican candidates in New Hampshire:


People tend to talk about Giuliani as the Republican frontrunner, but these seem to show a different picture.

On the Democratic side, things look a little less clear in Iowa:


Yet there's an obvious leader in New Hampshire: